Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.088559 0.103986 0.121222 0.141899 0.166022 0.193271 0.226386
2025-12-14 0.064116 0.082830 0.105737 0.135805 0.174211 0.221608 0.284541
2025-12-21 0.049269 0.069289 0.095858 0.133624 0.185871 0.255555 0.355547
2025-12-28 0.040484 0.061493 0.091488 0.137305 0.205409 0.302795 0.452586
2026-01-04 0.034171 0.055697 0.088556 0.142151 0.227193 0.356728 0.568890
2026-01-11 0.028877 0.050239 0.084925 0.145023 0.246280 0.409701 0.693197
2026-01-18 0.024230 0.044798 0.080167 0.144989 0.260451 0.457035 0.816638
2026-01-25 0.019838 0.038843 0.073340 0.139989 0.265057 0.488920 0.919219
2026-02-01 0.016206 0.033500 0.066531 0.133605 0.265790 0.513761 1.013038
2026-02-08 0.013749 0.029907 0.062281 0.131155 0.273250 0.551742 1.137248
2026-02-15 0.011633 0.026563 0.057873 0.127501 0.277541 0.584057 1.255406
2026-02-22 0.010315 0.024657 0.056050 0.128826 0.292175 0.639082 1.428505
2026-03-01 0.008949 0.022455 0.053389 0.128328 0.303923 0.692397 1.612701
2026-03-08 0.007600 0.020007 0.049723 0.124901 0.308665 0.731854 1.774728
2026-03-15 0.006629 0.018278 0.047408 0.124241 0.319842 0.787963 1.985991
2026-03-22 0.006054 0.017445 0.047124 0.128571 0.344071 0.878960 2.297695
2026-03-29 0.005581 0.016783 0.047146 0.133721 0.371445 0.982528 2.659945
2026-04-05 0.005076 0.015914 0.046451 0.136826 0.394120 1.078420 3.020501
2026-04-12 0.004530 0.014794 0.044834 0.137054 0.409056 1.156973 3.349871
2026-04-19 0.003903 0.013279 0.041774 0.132484 0.409587 1.197060 3.581500
2026-04-26 0.003330 0.011792 0.038483 0.126535 0.404930 1.222008 3.775240
2026-05-03 0.002935 0.010802 0.036513 0.124276 0.411027 1.278943 4.073705
2026-05-10 0.002566 0.009809 0.034322 0.120850 0.412832 1.323650 4.344057